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Red4
14362.6
102616.2
218710.3
Blue36
15538.4
131918.3
174619.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32420206080436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1026
#12
16.22.4
13.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
19.20.2
17.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2187
#17
10.32.4
14.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1319
#18
18.30.2
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1436
#36
2.62.4
4.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1553
#20
8.40.4
6.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End