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Red14
19596.2
127011.1
126121.0
Blue36
14362.6
38619.7
243011.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
21.01.3
21.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
386
#11
19.70.2
17.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1270
#28
11.11.3
13.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
11.60.4
11.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1959
#34
6.22.0
4.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1436
#36
2.60.4
2.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End