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Red28
131918.3
127011.1
218710.3
Blue30
9007.6
126121.0
10519.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241102030506070802830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#18
18.30.7
18.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1261
#13
21.00.5
20.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1270
#28
11.10.7
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1051
#15
9.80.8
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2187
#17
10.31.1
11.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
900
#29
7.60.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End