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Red70
153919.5
80410.8
13987.0
Blue20
218710.3
24255.6
13698.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332401020405060707020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#14
19.52.6
16.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
2187
#17
10.30.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
804
#19
10.81.9
9.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1369
#33
8.80.4
9.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#24
7.01.9
5.17.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2425
#25
5.60.4
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End