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Red4
81214.7
5998.4
25437.0
Blue8
171729.2
138817.8
3625.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040506048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#18
14.72.0
8.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
29.21.9
14.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
599
#16
8.42.0
12.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
17.81.9
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2543
#28
7.05.3
11.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
362
#25
5.61.9
6.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End