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Red26
26227.7
162223.3
39914.2
Blue38
6969.2
59713.6
248514.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32280102040506070802638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#30
23.30.5
16.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
2485
#21
14.90.8
5.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
#24
14.20.5
8.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
597
#23
13.60.8
13.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2622
#41
7.70.5
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
696
#42
9.20.8
9.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End