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Red10
39914.2
138817.8
5998.4
Blue0
61014.0
59713.6
15271.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332010204050607080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.81.9
12.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
610
#22Sur
14.02.7
12.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
#24Sur
14.21.9
8.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
597
#23
13.62.7
14.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
599
#16
8.41.9
11.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1527
#49
1.42.7
5.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End