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Red16
3625.6
9809.9
59713.6
Blue8
132310.7
70116.8
5854.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243606080168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#23
13.60.8
14.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
701
#4
16.82.2
17.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
#36
9.90.8
10.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1323
#14
10.72.2
10.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
362
#25
5.60.8
0.80.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
585
#38
4.42.2
6.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End