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Red120
115820.3
98740.2
113814.6
Blue106
204218.5
162223.3
33039.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54660204080100120140120106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
40.25.4
30.936.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
330
#6
39.23.4
32.435.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.35.4
13.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1622
#30
23.33.4
18.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#19
14.65.4
10.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2042
#11
18.53.4
14.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End