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Red6
11593.2
132310.7
157216.9
Blue0
11976.9
39914.2
153812.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30300102040506060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#31
16.91.9
10.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
399
#24
14.22.6
11.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
#14
10.71.9
10.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1538
#33
12.42.6
11.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1159
#44
3.21.9
8.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1197
#46
6.92.6
8.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End