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Red54
21548.3
199815.1
153812.4
Blue16
5686.2
202913.4
8416.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828010204050605416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1998
#15
15.12.1
13.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2029
#10
13.40.9
12.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
#33
12.42.1
11.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
841
#35
6.30.9
8.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2154
#26
8.32.1
2.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
568
#45
6.20.9
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End