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Red54
265810.6
203210.2
70116.8
Blue30
21548.3
61014.0
5686.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3624010203040506070805430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#4
16.81.3
15.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
610
#22
14.00.3
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2658
#40
10.61.4
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2154
#26
8.30.3
4.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2032
#27
10.21.4
10.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
568
#45
6.20.3
6.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End