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Red44
11976.9
210220.8
132310.7
Blue2
26227.7
15271.4
203210.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37220103050607080442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.6
19.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2032
#27
10.21.4
11.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
#14
10.70.6
10.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2622
#41
7.71.4
9.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1197
#46
6.90.6
6.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1527
#49
1.41.4
2.81.4
Auto
Teleop
End