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Red4
6756.7
5814.6
26438.6
Blue20
128015.9
13515.9
15167.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14440206080100420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#14
8.61.1
5.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
1280
#11
15.91.4
18.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
675
#39
6.71.1
9.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1516
#29
7.41.7
10.18.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
581
#13
4.61.0
3.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1351
#35
5.91.7
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End