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Red44
5814.6
25421.6
11412.6
Blue22
10728.7
214411.4
2539.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26271015203035404422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#24
21.61.5
15.617.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
2144
#34
11.40.4
10.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
#33
12.61.1
7.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
253
#43
9.30.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
581
#13
4.61.0
3.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1072
#45
8.70.4
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End