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Red32
19011.8
21597.7
6049.3
Blue12
67010.3
262810.2
6756.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263201020405060703212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#5
11.80.3
11.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
670
#8
10.31.4
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
#30
9.30.4
8.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2628
#37
10.21.4
11.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2159
#41
7.70.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
675
#39
6.71.4
8.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End