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Red4
128015.9
14587.5
214411.4
Blue38
15607.5
203518.2
26296.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44250206080100438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#11
15.91.9
18.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
18.20.8
15.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2144
#34
11.42.7
13.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1560
#22
7.50.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1458
#15
7.52.5
10.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2629
#27
6.00.7
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End