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Red0
1955.4
1775.1
17511.0
Blue20
9994.1
1818.1
409.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3328020406080100120020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
11.02.7
12.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
40
Unranked
9.80.7
11.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
Unranked
5.42.7
10.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
181
Unranked
8.10.7
10.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
177
Unranked
5.12.7
10.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
999
Unranked
4.10.7
7.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End