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Red50
71611.1
112417.3
23610.4
Blue2
1738.6
19916.2
3488.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37290206080100502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
Unranked
17.31.2
15.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
173
Unranked
8.62.4
12.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
Unranked
11.11.2
9.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
348
Unranked
8.52.4
7.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
236
Unranked
10.41.2
10.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1991
Unranked
6.22.4
10.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End