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Red70
22810.9
3488.5
23018.3
Blue0
8395.4
1769.8
1775.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24280406080100700

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
18.33.8
12.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
176
Unranked
9.82.3
12.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
10.93.8
7.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
839
Unranked
5.42.3
7.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
348
Unranked
8.53.8
4.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
177
Unranked
5.12.3
7.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End