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Red40
186515.7
147721.9
6536.9
Blue14
23119.7
26641.9
7049.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2728010204050604014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.0
10.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
231
#16
19.71.1
14.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.71.0
8.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
704
#6
9.81.1
7.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
#37
6.91.0
9.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2664
#46
1.91.1
5.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End