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Red0
215811.9
9221.5
18674.1
Blue30
44112.2
4374.8
7049.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24190406080100120030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#11
11.92.0
9.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
441
#13
12.20.9
5.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1867
#34
4.12.0
6.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
704
#6
9.80.9
6.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
922
#42
1.52.0
7.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
437
#36
4.80.9
7.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End