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Red16
25829.4
12555.0
23119.7
Blue6
13269.8
25858.7
177214.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27350102040506070166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#16
19.71.0
13.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1772
#41
14.11.6
18.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2582
#15
9.41.0
7.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1326
#12
9.82.4
8.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
#18
5.01.0
7.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2585
#25
8.72.4
7.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End