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Red40
11825.8
180116.8
6602.7
Blue20
147721.9
16423.5
4349.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3724060801004020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
25.80.3
18.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
21.90.5
11.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.80.3
10.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
434
#17
9.90.5
7.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
660
#43
2.70.3
6.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1642
#39
3.50.5
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End