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Qual 422008 Lone Star Regional
Red2
177214.1
18674.1
142918.2
Blue10
64713.8
16423.5
18183.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362206080100210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1429
#14
18.21.8
13.9→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
647
#7
13.81.2
12.0→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1772
#41
14.11.6
16.0→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.6
1642
#39
3.51.2
5.7→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1867
#34
4.12.7
4.7→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
1818
#20
3.41.2
6.5→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—