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Red28
180116.8
26137.7
41815.4
Blue4
18674.1
174510.3
26641.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30120204050607080284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.0
11.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1745
#27
10.30.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
418
#9
15.40.0
12.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
1867
#34
4.10.8
2.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2613
#19
7.70.0
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2664
#46
1.90.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End