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Red54
21575.5
62412.4
147721.9
Blue28
41815.4
16423.5
110810.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33290204060801005428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.4
17.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
418
#9
15.40.1
15.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
#26
12.41.1
11.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1108
#28
10.60.1
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2157
#24
5.51.4
4.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1642
#39
3.50.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End