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Red76
18985.2
11825.8
50126.5
Blue18
64713.8
110810.6
258712.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801001207618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#2
26.50.3
26.526.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
647
#7
13.80.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
#1
25.80.4
25.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
2587
#22
12.60.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1898
#45
5.20.4
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1108
#28
10.60.3
10.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End