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Red6
20688.7
21864.6
23369.9
Blue60
173125.4
12226.3
62010.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2336
#37
9.93.9
9.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
1731
#11
25.42.7
10.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2068
#48
8.71.7
11.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
620
#27
10.52.7
9.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2186
#61
4.61.7
7.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1222
#44
6.32.7
8.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End