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Red50
210812.9
190810.5
24176.7
Blue26
20287.3
173125.4
6118.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203004060801005026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2108
#28
12.92.4
10.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1731
#11
25.40.2
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1908
#18
10.52.4
5.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
611
#45
8.10.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2417
#55
6.72.4
5.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2028
#52
7.30.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End