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Red40
10338.1
165521.1
21067.7
Blue38
9008.8
23369.9
190715.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323010304050604038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.4
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1907
#19
15.81.2
8.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1033
#43
8.11.4
6.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2336
#37
9.91.2
6.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2106
#53
7.71.4
8.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
900
#38
8.81.2
8.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End