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Red14
40511.6
33914.8
54016.2
Blue42
43517.3
15994.7
123614.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302901020405060701442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#13
16.21.2
8.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
435
#36Sur
17.31.0
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
339
#12
14.81.2
12.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1236
#22
14.71.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
405
#35Sur
11.61.2
7.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1599
#57
4.71.0
4.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End