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Red30
190715.8
24836.6
61216.4
Blue12
188511.8
24176.7
21864.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252301020304050603012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#29
16.40.5
9.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1885
#40
11.80.9
14.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1907
#19
15.80.5
11.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2417
#55
6.70.9
6.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2483
#34
6.60.5
3.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2186
#61
4.60.9
2.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End