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Red36
188511.8
24027.1
190810.5
Blue34
159821.1
18955.7
20688.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282301020405060703634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#40
11.80.7
13.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1598
#26
21.10.8
12.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1908
#18
10.50.7
8.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2068
#48
8.70.8
6.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2402
#23
7.10.7
5.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1895
#47
5.70.8
5.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End