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Red28
15228.7
43517.3
20287.3
Blue40
188511.8
5878.1
20688.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33300102040506070802840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#36
17.30.4
14.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1885
#40
11.80.8
14.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1522
#42
8.70.4
12.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2068
#48
8.70.8
7.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2028
#52
7.30.4
6.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
587
#24
8.10.8
8.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End