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Red20
21078.7
21067.7
18298.8
Blue122
159821.1
173125.4
154110.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2536020608010012020122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1829
#15
8.80.5
9.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1731
#11
25.47.3
15.522.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2107
#30
8.70.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
1598
#26
21.17.3
12.820.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2106
#53
7.70.5
8.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1541
#50
10.47.3
6.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End