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Red40
179315.8
113718.4
15994.7
Blue20
161014.3
188511.8
210812.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36430102030506070804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.3
18.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1610
#16
14.31.7
16.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.80.3
13.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2108
#28
12.91.7
13.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1599
#57
4.70.3
4.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1885
#40
11.81.7
13.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End