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Red70
210812.9
173125.4
179315.8
Blue76
113718.4
159821.1
126216.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4955204060801007076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#11
25.40.5
23.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1598
#26
21.10.5
20.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.80.5
14.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
18.40.5
17.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2108
#28
12.90.5
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1262
#10
16.20.5
15.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End