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Red34
43517.3
108626.1
15228.7
Blue18
35920.6
264212.8
40113.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50490204060801003418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.4
25.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
359
#3
20.60.7
21.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
#36
17.30.4
16.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
401
#14
13.70.8
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1522
#42
8.70.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
12.80.8
13.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End