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Red30
7537.3
4927.8
48819.0
Blue40
151010.4
25174.8
36012.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372502060803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#8
19.00.4
18.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
360
#7
12.80.8
12.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#11
7.80.3
9.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
10.41.0
8.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
#19
7.30.4
8.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2517
#15
4.80.9
5.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End