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Red16
20029.8
15443.2
252210.1
Blue54
151010.4
177815.1
7537.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2029010405060701654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#10
10.10.5
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
15.11.7
10.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2002
#17
9.80.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
10.41.7
9.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1544
#25
3.20.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
753
#19
7.31.6
8.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End