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Red0
2555-1.5
4927.8
3726.8
Blue30
25174.8
12588.5
26057.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1524010203040506070030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#11
7.80.8
8.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1258
#12
8.50.6
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
372
#29
6.81.4
7.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2605
#26
7.80.3
7.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2555
#28
-1.51.3
0.8-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
2517
#15
4.80.3
5.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End