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Red14
177815.1
15701.6
94812.6
Blue0
21494.1
94913.2
151010.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2628010204050140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.6
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
949
#21
13.22.0
10.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
948
#18
12.61.0
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
10.41.4
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1570
#16
1.60.9
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2149
#23
4.12.2
5.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End