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Red18
124612.7
20762.4
78111.4
Blue4
18468.6
100621.1
156521.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25390206080100184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
21.22.7
14.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
781
#9
11.40.8
7.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
1006
#14
21.12.7
13.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2076
#24
2.40.8
7.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1846
#30
8.62.7
9.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End