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Red28
260915.0
130515.1
133414.3
Blue22
236112.4
114110.3
201311.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260204060801001202822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#15
15.10.4
12.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2361
#21
12.40.4
6.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2609
#19
15.00.4
6.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2013
#25
11.10.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
14.30.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1141
#22
10.30.4
12.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End