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Red18
20762.4
16053.4
124117.9
Blue30
6820.7
236112.4
77211.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060801830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
17.90.9
18.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
68
#13
20.70.5
19.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1605
#29
3.40.9
4.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
2361
#21
12.40.8
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2076
#24
2.40.9
6.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
772
#12
11.60.5
13.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End