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Red34
124612.7
220022.3
7583.8
Blue20
18468.6
133414.3
20762.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3920060801003420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.2
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
14.30.2
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.70.2
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1846
#30
8.60.2
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
758
#26
3.80.2
5.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2076
#24
2.40.2
5.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End