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Red34
20762.4
18827.5
260915.0
Blue48
220022.3
168012.3
85413.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4343102030506070803448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#2
27.50.7
24.523.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
22.30.4
17.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2609
#19
15.00.7
15.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
854
#20
13.00.5
14.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2076
#24
2.40.7
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1680
#28
12.30.4
10.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End