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Red16
7719.0
124117.9
15589.7
Blue26
85413.0
133414.3
78111.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404120305060701626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
17.91.5
19.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
14.30.9
14.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1558
#23
9.71.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
854
#20
13.00.9
13.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
#17
9.01.5
10.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
781
#9
11.40.9
12.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End