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Red30
215311.5
173025.1
253011.0
Blue6
25861.1
203910.0
25063.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392106080306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.5
20.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
2039
#27
10.01.1
7.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
#44
11.50.6
9.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2506
#36
3.82.6
3.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2530
#11
11.03.8
11.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2586
#49
1.15.3
1.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End